program Java/c++

Java Python Attempt All FIVe Questions.

All five questions are equally weighted with 20 points each.

Question 1: Structured Product (20 points)

Consider a one-year structured product issued by NOPAY BANK on an equity index consisting of one long call L and one long put H. The equity index portfolio doesn’t pay dividends. The corresponding strike and option prices are shown below.

The structure product is issued at a time when the underlying equity index level is 100.

Can you list FIVE factors that you would use to characterize this product for your investor-clients? (5 points)

Based on the five factors you have listed in (a), perform a financial analysis of the product without using the Black-Scholes formula or the greeks. (15 points)

Question 2: Airbag Contract (20 points)

Suppose today is August 2, 2021. Consider a 5-year “Airbag” security, a customized structured product offered by ABN-AMRO that is linked to the performance of the Hang Seng Index. The product is targeted at the high-net-worth individuals. The terms of the Airbag contract are as follows:

Issuance date: 02 August 2021 ()

Terminal date: 02 August 2026 (

Initial Hang Seng Index () on 02 August 2021: 26,180

Dividend yield: 2%

Payment at terminal date (per USD1,000,000) is linked to the Hang Seng Index on 02 August 2026 ():

It is believed that the Hang Seng index will fluctuate with 32.5% volatility each year for the next 5 years. The risk-free interest rate is 5%.

Draw a diagram to describe the payoffs of this Airbag product. (5 points)

Determine the fair market value of this Airbag product. (10 points)

The Hang Seng Index on August 02, 2024 has fallen to 16,946. Assume that the risk-free rate and the volatility remain the same. What is the fair value of the Airbag contract on August 02, 2024. (5 points)

Hint: The Black-Scholes formula is provided in the Excel File provided: “Q2 Black-Scholes Formula”.

Question 3: Reverse Convertible Notes (20 points)

Read the Harvard Case on Reverse Convertible Notes (RCN) and answer the following two questions.

Was the RCN fairly priced? (10 points)

Did it offer a favorable risk-return tradeoff to the high-net-worth investors? Explain. (10 points)

Question 4: Securitization of Pure Risk—Weather Derivatives (20 points)

Many businesses are in the position where their performance is adversely affected by extreme weather conditions due to global warming. Weather derivatives as an over-the-counter financial product for managing weather risk has gained popularity as a risk management tool in recent years. The weather derivative contract consists of the following terms:

HDD: Heating Degree Days

CDD: Cooling Degree Days

Suppose a day’s HDD and CDD in Hong Kong are defined r program、Java/c++ espectively as follows:

Daily HDD = max{0, 24 oC – AVG} ; Daily CDD = max{0, AVG – 24 oC }

AVG is the average of the highest and lowest temperature during the day at a specified weather station measured in degrees Celsius. A typical over-the-counter product is an option contract providing a payoff determined by the cumulative HDD or CDD during a month; that is, the total of the HDDs or CDDs for every day in the month.

Suppose Nopay Bank in December 2023 sells to client a weather derivative on the cumulative CDD during August 2024 with a strike price of 130, a payment rate of USD1,000 per degree day, subject to a payment cap of USD140,000.

Draw a payoff diagram for this one-month cumulative weather option. (5 points)

Describe the payoffs in terms of options. (5 points)

Suppose the daily average temperature for the month of August is normally distributed with mean and standard deviation () equal to 30oC and 1.5 oC respectively. The risk-free rate of interest is 5% per annum. Determine the market value of the August CDD contract by doing a Monte Carlo simulation with at least 5,000 iterations in Excel. (10 points)

Hint: To generate normal random variable with mean and standard deviation () in Excel, the command to use in Excel is: “”

Step 1: Generate 31 daily random temperatures based on the mean and standard deviation.

Step 2: Determine the CDD for each simulated temperature

Step 3: Calculate the cumulative CDD and determine the corresponding terminal payoff

Step 4: Repeat Steps 1 to 3 for at least 5,000 times and obtain at least 5,000 terminal payoffs

Step 5: Take the average of the terminal payoffs simulated and discount it back to time 0 at

the risk-free rate.

Question 5: USD-HKD Callable Bonus Forward (20 points)

On July 2015, ICBC(Asia) issued a 24-month USD-HKD Callable Bonus Forward to one of its high-net-worth individual clients. The details of the product are attached in the pdf file “Q5-USD-HKD Callable Bonus Forward”.

To provide you the perspective on the macroeconomic backdrop of this product, the graph below presents the monthly USD-HKD high, low and close exchange rate from Jan 31, 2010 to Jul 31. 2024.

Based on the macroeconomic environment for the USD-HKD at the time of issuance, would the product offer a favorable risk-return tradeoff to the high-net-worth investors? Explain. (3 points)

Suppose the trade date started on Aug 03, 2015 and the first fixing date for the contract was Aug 31, 2015. Determine the maximum possible gain to the investor. (5 points)

Suppose the monthly USD-HKD exchange rates for the 24 fixing dates are as provided in the table below. Determine the profit and loss each month and the cumulative profit and loss at the end of the contract         

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本研究聚焦于运用MATLAB平台,将支持向量机(SVM)应用于数据预测任务,并引入粒子群优化(PSO)算法对模型的关键参数进行自动调优。该研究属于机器学习领域的典型实践,其核心在于利用SVM构建分类模型,同时借助PSO的全局搜索能力,高效确定SVM的最优超参数配置,从而显著增强模型的整体预测效能。 支持向量机作为一种经典的监督学习方法,其基本原理是通过在高维特征空间中构造一个具有最大间隔的决策边界,以实现对样本数据的分类或回归分析。该算法擅长处理小规模样本集、非线性关系以及高维度特征识别问题,其有效性源于通过核函数将原始数据映射至更高维的空间,使得原本复杂的分类问题变得线性可分。 粒子群优化算法是一种模拟鸟群社会行为的群体智能优化技术。在该算法框架下,每个潜在解被视作一个“粒子”,粒子群在解空间中协同搜索,通过不断迭代更新自身速度与位置,并参考个体历史最优解和群体全局最优解的信息,逐步逼近问题的最优解。在本应用中,PSO被专门用于搜寻SVM中影响模型性能的两个关键参数——正则化参数C与核函数参数γ的最优组合。 项目所提供的实现代码涵盖了从数据加载、预处理(如标准化处理)、基础SVM模型构建到PSO优化流程的完整步骤。优化过程会针对不同的核函数(例如线性核、多项式核及径向基函数核等)进行参数寻优,并系统评估优化前后模型性能的差异。性能对比通常基于准确率、精确率、召回率及F1分数等多项分类指标展开,从而定量验证PSO算法在提升SVM模型分类能力方面的实际效果。 本研究通过一个具体的MATLAB实现案例,旨在演示如何将全局优化算法与机器学习模型相结合,以解决模型参数选择这一关键问题。通过此实践,研究者不仅能够深入理解SVM的工作原理,还能掌握利用智能优化技术提升模型泛化性能的有效方法,这对于机器学习在实际问题中的应用具有重要的参考价值。 资源来源于网络分享,仅用于学习交流使用,请勿用于商业,如有侵权请联系我删除!
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