planning model-优快云博客

本文介绍了一种用于企业成本和利润预测的模型，包括人力成本、运营费用和利润预测等关键部分。人力成本预测考虑了基本工资、福利等因素；运营费用预测涵盖了除产品成本外的所有费用，并使用驱动方法进行估算；利润预测则基于销售情况。

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the usual planning model has:

workforce, operation cost, profit

workforce planning is for forecasting base salary, benefit, payroll tax, etc.

the driving factor is headcount and average_salary, which are based on previous month's base and adjustment ( for current_forecast month, the previous month is

actuals initialized from actual), and total could include adjustment input. average_salary need to consider merit increase in merit month every year.

so base salary forecast is based on headcount and average salary forecast, and benefit rely on headcount and average benefit per head, which is an input. payroll tax is by base salary and payroll tax rate.

operation expense forecast include all expense ( not include product cost) forecast. Besides general expense ( employment related could imported from workforce forecasting), it also include media/advitising, billing and bank fee, etc.

expense forecast can use driver_method, which mean for current forecast month base, it could be average of previous 1, 2,3,4,etc month, base and adjustment, and total could include adjustment.

for offline model, base and adjustment could come from data form. input, e.g.,

media/advitising; for online model, it could be calcuated like utility, rent, etc.

Profit forecast is drived by sales since revenue and product cost rely on the sales

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