http://fmajor.lamost.org/blog/2014/03/01/Bayesian-thinking.html?p=1177
https://www.zhihu.com/question/21134457
http://mindhacks.cn/2008/09/21/the-magical-bayesian-method/
http://www.xuyankun.cn/2017/05/13/bayes/
http://fmajor.lamost.org/blog/2014/03/01/Bayesian-thinking.html?p=1177
https://www.zhihu.com/question/21134457
http://mindhacks.cn/2008/09/21/the-magical-bayesian-method/
http://www.xuyankun.cn/2017/05/13/bayes/