14:10:03 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] start processing
14:10:16 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] done processing
14:10:16 - cmdstanpy - ERROR - Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
Optimization terminated abnormally. Falling back to Newton.
14:10:16 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] start processing
14:10:17 - cmdstanpy - INFO - Chain [1] done processing
14:10:17 - cmdstanpy - ERROR - Chain [1] error: terminated by signal 3221225657
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
RuntimeError Traceback (most recent call last)
~\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\prophet\models.py in fit(self, stan_init, stan_data, **kwargs)
125 try:
--> 126 self.stan_fit = self.model.optimize(**args)
127 except RuntimeError as e:
~\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\cmdstanpy\model.py in optimize(self, data, seed, inits, output_dir, sig_figs, save_profile, algorithm, init_alpha, tol_obj, tol_rel_obj, tol_grad, tol_rel_grad, tol_param, history_size, iter, save_iterations, require_converged, show_console, refresh, time_fmt, timeout, jacobian)
658 else:
--> 659 raise RuntimeError(msg)
660 mle = CmdStanMLE(runset)
RuntimeError: Error during optimization! Command 'C:\Users\1\anaconda3\Lib\site-packages\prophet\stan_model\prophet_model.bin random seed=95430 data file=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\tst375we.json init=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\mp15em1r.json output file=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\prophet_modelnqznauyu\prophet_model-20250918141003.csv method=optimize algorithm=lbfgs iter=10000' failed:
During handling of the above exception, another exception occurred:
RuntimeError Traceback (most recent call last)
<ipython-input-3-b16eae979bcc> in <module>
9
10 # 训练Prophet模型
---> 11 prophet_model.fit(features)
12
13 # 创建未来日期数据框
~\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\prophet\forecaster.py in fit(self, df, **kwargs)
1233 self.params = self.stan_backend.sampling(stan_init, dat, self.mcmc_samples, **kwargs)
1234 else:
-> 1235 self.params = self.stan_backend.fit(stan_init, dat, **kwargs)
1236
1237 self.stan_fit = self.stan_backend.stan_fit
~\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\prophet\models.py in fit(self, stan_init, stan_data, **kwargs)
131 logger.warning('Optimization terminated abnormally. Falling back to Newton.')
132 args['algorithm'] = 'Newton'
--> 133 self.stan_fit = self.model.optimize(**args)
134 params = self.stan_to_dict_numpy(
135 self.stan_fit.column_names, self.stan_fit.optimized_params_np)
~\anaconda3\lib\site-packages\cmdstanpy\model.py in optimize(self, data, seed, inits, output_dir, sig_figs, save_profile, algorithm, init_alpha, tol_obj, tol_rel_obj, tol_grad, tol_rel_grad, tol_param, history_size, iter, save_iterations, require_converged, show_console, refresh, time_fmt, timeout, jacobian)
657 get_logger().warning(msg)
658 else:
--> 659 raise RuntimeError(msg)
660 mle = CmdStanMLE(runset)
661 return mle
RuntimeError: Error during optimization! Command 'C:\Users\1\anaconda3\Lib\site-packages\prophet\stan_model\prophet_model.bin random seed=22563 data file=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\jt2wa909.json init=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\40g9otm4.json output file=C:\Users\1\AppData\Local\Temp\tmpetj21adg\prophet_modelgpn1w8pb\prophet_model-20250918141016.csv method=optimize algorithm=newton iter=10000' failed:
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