signature=6326f127a2f0abd7bc7ae64ec8375cd0,Characteristic Analysis and Early-Warning of Tornado Supe...

该研究利用多普勒雷达数据深入剖析了发生在安徽的三次F2-F3级龙卷风,重点关注了由超级单体风暴引发的龙卷风特征,以及与冰雹超级单体风暴的对比。通过分析80个气象观测数据和历年气候评估灾难资料,揭示了龙卷风时空分布及变化趋势,以及1960至今的形成环流情况。发现龙卷风主要集中在淮南至江华地区平原,7月发生概率最高;严重龙卷风起因于中等CAPE和强垂直风切变,抬升凝结高度较低;所有F2-F3龙卷风前期雷达都检测到中尺度气旋和TVS。与非龙卷风暴相比,引发龙卷的中尺度气旋底部更低,且风暴结构有明显差异。

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摘要:

Usingthe Doppler radar data,three severe tornado processes occurred inAnhui were analyzed.The characteristics of Doppler base reflectivity in these F2~F3 tornados caused by supercell stormand the difference between tornado and hail supercellstormswere mainly studied.In addition,the meteorologicdata of 80 observations in Anhuiand the disaster dataof climate evaluation in past years,partlyfrom the disaster reportsof civil administration,were used.Based on these data,not only the space-time distributions and its variation trendof tornado processes,but alsothe circulation situationforming tornados from1960 up to nowwere researched.Theresults show that:(1) Tornados mainly occurred in plain places from east of Huaibei to east of Jianghuai region.The highest probabilityof tornados taking place were in July.(2) The supercell tornado occurred under the conditionof middleCAPE and severe vertical wind shear.Atthe same time its lifting condensation levelwas lower.(3) The three F2~F3 tornados all detected evere meso-cyclone and TVS(Tornadic Vortex Signature)at radar before and during occurrence.Comparing with non-tornado supercellstorm,the bottom height of meso-cyclonecausing severe tornados were obvious lower,mostly lower than 1 km.Atthe same timethe storm structure also had difference.The maximum reflectivityof supercell storm causing tornado is near to storm centroidat height,basicallyat 3 km or so,and the reflectivity was within 50~60 dBz.But for severe hail supercell storm,themaximum reflectivitywas higher than the storm centroidat heightbefore the storm disaster.When hailing,the height of maximum reflectivity became lower,but the height of storm centroidhad no change which was higher than the maximum reflectivity,keeping at 5 km or so and the reflectivity within60~70 dBz.

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