Connections: Patterns of Discovery

本书运用主要预测工具及三种发现原型模式,揭示过往科学发展之间的联系,并为未来勾勒出连贯且引人入胜的愿景。挑战读者思考趋势外推的结果,如摩尔定律是否能实现真正的机器智能,或在物理限制面前退缩。

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This book uses the primary tools of forecasting and three archetypal patterns of discovery to discern relationships of past scientific developments and synthesize a cohesive and compelling vision for the future. It challenges readers to think of the consequences of extrapolating trends, such as Moore's Law, to either reach real machine intelligence or retrench in the face of physical limitations. From this perspective, the book draws "the big picture" for the Information Revolution's innovations in chips, devices, software, and networks.
http://rapidshare.com/files/134442394/0470118814.rar
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