data=[10930,10318,10595,10972,7706,6756,9092,10551,9722,10913,11151,8186,6422,6337,11649,11652,10310,12043,7937,6476,9662,9570,9981,9331,9449,6773,6304,9355,10477,10148,10395,11261,8713,7299,10424,10795,11069,11602,11427,9095,7707,10767,12136,12812,12006,12528,10329,7818,11719,11683];仅使用matlab2015软件和matlab代码对测试数据进行AR、MA、ARIMA模型建设并分析模型之间的区别并展示采用何种准则进行模型的选择以及判断检验效果