电信行业发展中，所谓专家们的若干失误

英语好的朋友，一看就懂。何砝翻译了一下，不过没有照搬原文，说出愿意而已。

New services have often been mysteries to the industry - greatly underestimated or overestimated
（电信行业）新服务经常被严重高估或者低估。

ISDN
Telecoms Industry view at launch:The next generation of telecoms - replace POTS
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:UK / USA : “Idiot Services,users Don’t Need”
电信业原本认为ISDN是下一代的通信方式，可以取代传统电话系统，消费者认为“白痴的服务，我们不需要”

WAP
Telecoms Industry view at launch:The mobile user will really go for this technology
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:“WAP is crap” - expensive,no services, difficult to use
电信业原本认为手机用户会很真的喜欢WAP，消费者说WAP又昂贵又没什么服务还不好用。

Iridium LEOs
Telecoms Industry view at launch:Just what the remote business traveller needs
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:20 times too expensive
电信业原本认为铱星电话恰好是商务旅行人士所需要的，消费者认为价格贵了20倍

Internet/WWW
Telecoms Industry view at launch:Ignore.... Oh still there ?!!..horror -stifle! ..VoIP wins
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:Just use it (@ no cost)
电信业原本认为互联网应该被忽视，消费者却乐此不疲。

GSM – digital mobile
Telecoms Industry view at launch:An extra (minor) feed for our fixed networks
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:Just what we need! - till we see the bill ! -so PAYG rules
电信业原本认为GSM手机（数字移动技术）只是固定电话网络一个不重要的补充，消费者认为这正是他们需要的。

SMS
Telecoms Industry view at launch:Minor supplementary service (CLASS for Mobile)
The consumer speaks –the ‘street’ view:The only service (mobile or fixed) for many users
电信业原本以为手机短信只是一个不重要的补充，消费者认为对于很多人而言这是唯一的服务。

THE DEMAND FOR FUTURE MOBILE COMMUNICATIONS MARKETS AND SERVICES IN EUROPE
选自：《欧洲未来移动通信市场与服务》——欧盟的研究项目
Authors:Simon Forge, Colin Blackman and Erik Bohlin Harmeet Sawhney,

原始出处：
’Wi-Fi networks and the rerun of the cycle’, info, Vol 5, No 6, 2003, pp 25-33, see: http://www.emeraldinsight.com/vl=702179/cl=19/nw=1/rpsv/cw/www/mcb/14636697/v5n6/contp1-1.htm